How prediction markets settle

When a market closes, one side is right and one side is wrong. The winning shares pay $1 eachand the losing shares pay nothing. If you sold before the close, you already took the market price and settlement doesn't touch you.

A market is only as trustworthy as the source that settles it, so every market names its source up front. Crypto rounds settle on Binance price data. Games settle on the official final score from the league feed. Elections and economic releases settle on the official published result.

There is no judgment call and no house opinion. The market reads the number and pays out.

Short crypto rounds are the cleanest example. A round opens at a set price and closes at a set time. Close higher than the open and UP wins. Close lower and DOWN wins. Land exactly equal and the round refunds.

There is no fuzzy band. A one-cent move decides it, read from the Binance candle for the round's window.

For a game, the market resolves on the final result once it is official. The exact rule is written into the market before you trade, so you always know what counts. Overtime, extra time, and shootouts resolve on the game's official winner, not the score at regulation.

Some outcomes land exactly on the line, or a round opens and closes at the same price. Those resolve as a push: the trade is refunded rather than won or lost. On a refunded crypto round, Wairi keeps 1% and returns the rest.

There are no fees to place an order and nothing is taken from your stake. The only fee is 2% of your profit, charged at settlement, and only when you win. A losing position costs you what you paid for it and nothing more.